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    How Solana Catches Up

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    Flipside AI

    Solana's DEX trading landscape reveals dramatic shifts across token categories: stablecoin volume surged 107x to $404.9B in late December 2024, major token trading spiked 145% to $9.3B in January 2025, and memecoin trading experienced a significant 84% decline from $131.3M to $21.2M between January and March 2025. Liquid staking derivatives also showed strong performance, reaching a peak volume of $384.9M in January, representing a 47% increase from the previous period.

    Adjusted DEX Volume

    Differences in transaction fees play a major role in differences between Ethereum and Solana. When comparing Decentralized Exchange volume, it is trivial on a low-cost chain to wash tokens at any arbitrary price if the issuer owns both supply and the majority of liquidity.

    One available adjustment is to filter to DEX swaps where both tokens in the swap are listed on a Lending Market with sizeable deposits. This serves as a proxy for tokens becoming too expensive to wash trade (because the issuer no longer owns all of the liquidity).

    Here, tokens listed on SAVE (formerly Solend) with at least $100K in deposits are compared to tokens listed on Ethereum listed on AAVE with at least $1M in deposits.

    Note, AAVE does not list any memecoins even in isolated markets, so SHIB and PEPE are added for reference.

    Ethereum Tokens Included

    Stablecoin
    USDT USDC DAI USDe PYUSD LUSD FRAX GHO

    Major Token
    WETH WBTC AAVE LINK cbBTC MKR UNI BAL tBTC LDO RPL ENS CRV SNX

    Liquid Staking
    wstETH weETH rETH cbETH ETHx osETH

    Memecoin
    SHIB PEPE

    Solana Tokens Included

    Stablecoin
    USDC USDT PYUSD

    Major Token
    SOL ETH SLND RAY JUP PYTH

    Liquid Staking Derivative
    mSOL bSOL JitoSOL haSOL JupSOL sSOL

    Memecoin
    WIF BONK POPCAT BOBAOPPA

    What would it take for Solana to "catch up"?
    • While it's true that low transaction fees make it trivial to pump naïve metrics like active users, new tokens, and raw dex volume - we can adjust for that and get a closer to apples to apples comparison of where chains stand relative to one another.

    • Here, we use Lending Market adoption ($100k+ in token deposits on Solana SAVE (formerly Solend), $1M+ in token deposits on Ethereum AAVE) as a proxy for a token's legitimacy (i.e., liquidity is too widely owned for the issuer to wash trade at scale). This Lending Market Listing adjustment reduces the scope of tokens being analyzed and we look at only trades between the tokens on these lists.

      The major growth targets for Solana to reach 50% of Ethereum market cap are roughly:

    • More stablecoin adoption, especially in lending markets as a means of credit expansion. USDC, USDT, and PYUSD are all growing on Solana, with USDC leading the pack on Solend lending deposits ($50M, $10M, $2M respectively).

    • More robust transaction fee markets so that SOL emissions to validators can be reduced (currently ~80-90% of Solana validator rewards are emissions instead of transaction fees. The goal is for tx fees/usage to replace this over time).

    • Already Adjusted DEX Volume on Solana is ~35% of ETH mainnet (~20% of ETH Mainnet + Op/Arb/Base if you bundle in the major EVM L2s).

    • As Solana firedancer goes live enabling faster mempools and consensus: more blockspace, protocols, and "legitimate" tokens should enable more robust transaction fee markets and eventually a reduction in emissions.

    Disclaimer: Flipside AI is here to help but it can make mistakes. Always review outputs and use the upvote/downvote buttons to help us improve. This content is not financial advice.